$64.67
Below FV▲ +21.7% against the close used
Model range $26.37 – $94.69
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$26.37Fair value$64.67Bull$94.69
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $44.1352W high $60.05
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
New Jersey Resources closed at $53.16, 17.8% below the consensus fair value of $64.67 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 16.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$62.13
+16.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$44.08
-17.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.33, BVPS=25.93 · outside Graham range (P/E 16, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$66.60
+25.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.33, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$26.37
-50.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.33, g=7.9%
EV/EBITDA
$94.69
+78.1%
(EBITDA × 14x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=697.64M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$94.61
+78.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.82, r=10%, g=7.9%
Book Value (P/B)
$43.44
-18.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=25.93, ROE=12.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$53.16
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.1% | Historical: 7.9%
Margin of Safety
$43.20
-18.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=57.6, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.