Annaly Capital Management

NLY US Financials Mortgage REITs
S&P 400
$21.90
-0.45%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NLY
Annaly Capital Management
FinancialsMortgage REITs
$21.90
Close used for this calculation
$53.72Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability19/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.19/25Ret.14/25Eff.25/25B.Sht8/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

$53.72
Below FV
▲ +145.3% against the close used
Model range $34.10 – $87.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$34.10Fair value$53.72Bull$87.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $20.2152W high $24.40

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Annaly Capital Management closed at $21.90, 59.2% below the consensus fair value of $53.72 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$57.96
+164.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$38.71
+76.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.92, BVPS=22.81
P/E Fair Value
$58.40
+166.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$87.60
+300.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.92, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$53.02
+142.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.04B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$37.84
+72.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.7, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$34.10
+55.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=22.81, ROE=12%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$21.90
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -6.4% | Historical: 38.2%
Margin of Safety
$38.77
+77.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=51.69, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.