NMI Holdings, Inc.

NMIH US Financials Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
S&P 600
$43.89
-0.68%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NMIH
NMI Holdings, Inc.
FinancialsCommercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
$43.89
Close used for this calculation
$96.05Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
75/100
Profitability23/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency22/25
Growth17/25
Strong
Quality radar
75Prof.23/25Ret.16/25Eff.22/25B.Sht14/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$96.05
Below FV
▲ +118.8% against the close used
Model range $62.60 – $116.38
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$62.60Fair value$96.05Bull$116.38
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $35.3552W high $45.71

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NMI Holdings, Inc. closed at $43.89, 54.3% below the consensus fair value of $96.05 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 75/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$103.58
+136.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$62.60
+42.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.92, BVPS=35.4
P/E Fair Value
$98.40
+124.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$92.10
+109.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.92, g=18.7%
EV/EBITDA
$116.38
+165.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=511.1M
Book Value (P/B)
$74.15
+69.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=35.4, ROE=14.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$43.89
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.9% | Historical: 18.7%
Margin of Safety
$66.15
+50.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=88.19, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.