$480.03
Near FV▼ -7.5% against the close used
Model range $286.74 – $581.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$286.74Fair value$480.03Bull$581.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $496.0252W high $768.02
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Northrop Grumman closed at $518.97, 8.1% above the consensus fair value of $480.03 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 17.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$456.44
-12.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$286.74
-44.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=29.08, BVPS=125.66 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.9, P/B 4.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$581.60
+12.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=29.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$303.60
-41.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=29.08, g=10.4%
EV/EBITDA
$554.68
+6.9%
(EBITDA × 15.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.98B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$484.82
-6.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=8.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$545.99
+5.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=125.66, ROE=23.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$518.97
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.6% | Historical: 10.4%
Margin of Safety
$331.20
-36.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=441.59, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.