NRG Energy

NRG US Utilities Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
S&P 500
$113.46
+1.62%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NRG
NRG Energy
UtilitiesIndependent Power Producers & Energy Traders
$113.46
Close used for this calculation
$107.96Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability17/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth15/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.17/25Ret.15/25Eff.11/25B.Sht16/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

$107.96
Near FV
▼ -4.8% against the close used
Model range $45.48 – $271.59
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$45.48Fair value$107.96Bull$271.59
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $109.5152W high $184.03

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

NRG Energy closed at $113.46, 5.1% above the consensus fair value of $107.96 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 28.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$70.57
-37.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$45.48
-59.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.01, BVPS=22.92 · outside Graham range (P/E 28.3, P/B 5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$80.20
-29.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.01, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$120.30
+6.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.01, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$271.59
+139.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.25B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$94.97
-16.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.76, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$67.62
-40.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=22.92, ROE=17.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$113.46
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.8% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$49.06
-56.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=65.42, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.