Norfolk Southern

NSC US Industrials Rail Transportation
S&P 500
$320.27
-0.94%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NSC
Norfolk Southern
IndustrialsRail Transportation
$320.27
Close used for this calculation
$209.13Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability19/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.19/25Ret.12/25Eff.11/25B.Sht17/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$209.13
Above FV
▼ -34.7% against the close used
Model range $82.62 – $337.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$82.62Fair value$209.13Bull$337.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $274.0052W high $352.98

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Norfolk Southern closed at $320.27, 53.1% above the consensus fair value of $209.13 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 25.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$164.41
-48.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$144.01
-55.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=12.75, BVPS=72.3 · outside Graham range (P/E 25.1, P/B 4.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$255.00
-20.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=12.75, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$82.62
-74.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=12.75, g=6.5%
EV/EBITDA
$337.80
+5.5%
(EBITDA × 13.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.75B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$163.73
-48.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.41, r=10%, g=6.5%
Book Value (P/B)
$211.10
-34.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=72.3, ROE=17.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$320.27
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.2% | Historical: 6.5%
Margin of Safety
$140.86
-56.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=187.81, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.