Napco Security Technologies

NSSC US Information Technology Electronic Equipment & Instruments
S&P 600
$36.26
+2.60%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NSSC
Napco Security Technologies
Information TechnologyElectronic Equipment & Instruments
$36.26
Close used for this calculation
$27.29Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability25/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth15/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.25/25Ret.10/25Eff.11/25B.Sht21/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

$27.29
Above FV
▼ -24.7% against the close used
Model range $21.30 – $36.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$21.30Fair value$27.29Bull$36.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $34.9652W high $47.23

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Napco Security Technologies closed at $36.26, 32.9% above the consensus fair value of $27.29 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 30.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$32.79
-9.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$24.00
-33.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.2, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$36.00
-0.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.2, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$23.87
-34.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=47.55M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$31.33
-13.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.58, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$21.97
-39.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5.32, ROE=22.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$36.26
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.7% | Historical: 33.5%
Margin of Safety
$21.30
-41.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=28.4, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.