Northern Trust

NTRS US Financials Asset Management & Custody Banks
S&P 500
$189.19
+1.07%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NTRS
Northern Trust
FinancialsAsset Management & Custody Banks
$189.19
Close used for this calculation
$271.27Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability19/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.19/25Ret.10/25Eff.11/25B.Sht14/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$271.27
Below FV
▲ +43.4% against the close used
Model range $80.41 – $545.29
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$80.41Fair value$271.27Bull$545.29
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $122.7252W high $191.47

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Northern Trust closed at $189.19, 30.3% below the consensus fair value of $271.27 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 21.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$545.29
+188.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$119.39
-36.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.74, BVPS=72.49 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.7, P/B 2.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$174.80
-7.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$80.41
-57.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.74, g=9.2%
EV/EBITDA
$229.11
+21.1%
(EBITDA × 14.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$167.55
-11.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.1, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$126.13
-33.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=72.49, ROE=13%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$189.19
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.2% | Historical: 9.2%
Margin of Safety
$209.87
+10.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=279.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.