$19.62
Above FV▼ -71.7% against the close used
Model range $9.85 – $33.64
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$9.85Fair value$19.62Bull$33.64
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $55.5452W high $73.42
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
NorthWestern Energy closed at $69.24, 252.9% above the consensus fair value of $19.62 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 29/100 — Weak. P/E of 96.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$13.49
-80.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$27.53
-60.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.72, BVPS=46.78 · outside Graham range (P/E 96.2, P/B 1.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$14.40
-79.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.72, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$21.60
-68.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.72, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$9.85
-85.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=575.34M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$33.64
-51.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.64, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$21.72
-68.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=46.78, ROE=6.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$69.24
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 28.6% | Historical: -33.1%
Margin of Safety
$13.86
-80.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=18.47, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.