NW Natural

NWN US Utilities Gas Utilities
S&P 600
$48.44
-1.26%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NWN
NW Natural
UtilitiesGas Utilities
$48.44
Close used for this calculation
$47.30Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
43/100
Profitability11/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet0/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
43Prof.11/25Ret.14/25Eff.18/25B.Sht0/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$47.30
Near FV
▼ -2.4% against the close used
Model range $9.42 – $69.10
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$9.42Fair value$47.30Bull$69.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $41.6052W high $55.80

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

NW Natural closed at $48.44, 2.4% above the consensus fair value of $47.30 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 17.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$39.84
-17.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$48.01
-0.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.77, BVPS=36.98 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.5, P/B 1.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$55.40
+14.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.77, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$9.42
-80.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.77, g=3.4%
EV/EBITDA
$69.10
+42.6%
(EBITDA × 11.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=446.4M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$30.74
-36.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.96, r=10%, g=3.4%
Book Value (P/B)
$21.68
-55.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=36.98, ROE=7.3%, g=3.4%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$48.44
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.3% | Historical: 3.4%
Margin of Safety
$35.81
-26.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=47.75, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.