Old Dominion

ODFL US Industrials Cargo Ground Transportation
S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
$179.79
-0.42%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ODFL
Old Dominion
IndustrialsCargo Ground Transportation
$179.79
Close used for this calculation
$82.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Profitability15/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth1/25
Average
Quality radar
46Prof.15/25Ret.10/25Eff.4/25B.Sht17/25Growth1/25

Consensus fair value

$82.65
Above FV
▼ -54.0% against the close used
Model range $19.99 – $98.44
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$19.99Fair value$82.65Bull$98.44
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $126.2952W high $248.73

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Old Dominion closed at $179.79, 117.5% above the consensus fair value of $82.65 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 37.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$67.74
-62.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$48.72
-72.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.84, BVPS=21.79 · outside Graham range (P/E 37.2, P/B 8.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$96.80
-46.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.84, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$19.99
-88.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.84, g=4.1%
EV/EBITDA
$98.44
-45.2%
(EBITDA × 12.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.73B
Book Value (P/B)
$68.24
-62.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=21.79, ROE=22.5%, g=4.1%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$179.79
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.5% | Historical: 4.1%
Margin of Safety
$53.32
-70.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=71.09, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.