O’Reilly Automotive

ORLY US Consumer Discretionary Automotive Retail
S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
$85.82
+0.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive
Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Retail
$85.82
Close used for this calculation
$43.84Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
35/100
Profitability12/25
Returns2/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency4/25
Growth3/25
Average
Quality radar
35Prof.12/25Ret.2/25Eff.4/25B.Sht17/25Growth3/25

Consensus fair value

$43.84
Above FV
▼ -48.9% against the close used
Model range $23.46 – $59.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$23.46Fair value$43.84Bull$59.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $82.7352W high $107.82

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

O’Reilly Automotive closed at $85.82, 95.8% above the consensus fair value of $43.84 drawn from 6 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 35/100 — Average. P/E of 28.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$34.94
-59.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$59.40
-30.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.97, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$23.46
-72.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.97, g=7.9%
EV/EBITDA
$39.66
-53.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.97B
Reverse DCF
$85.82
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.1% | Historical: -7.9%
Margin of Safety
$35.38
-58.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=47.17, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.