The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$8.08Fair value$79.89Bull$118.27
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $35.9752W high $66.91
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Ovintiv closed at $63.69, 20.3% below the consensus fair value of $79.89 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 13.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$75.47
+18.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1.7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$66.26
+4.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.78, BVPS=40.83
P/E Fair Value
$95.60
+50.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.78, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$8.08
-87.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.78, g=1.7%
EV/EBITDA
$118.27
+85.7%
(EBITDA × 10.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.31B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$15.27
-76.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.2, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$45.49
-28.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=40.83, ROE=10.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$63.69
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.6% | Historical: 1.7%
Margin of Safety
$59.33
-6.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=79.11, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.