Occidental Petroleum

OXY US Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
S&P 500
$61.46
+0.49%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

OXY
Occidental Petroleum
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production
$61.46
Close used for this calculation
$49.46Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability17/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth9/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.17/25Ret.9/25Eff.9/25B.Sht10/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$49.46
Above FV
▼ -19.5% against the close used
Model range $17.24 – $98.05
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$17.24Fair value$49.46Bull$98.05
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $38.9252W high $66.24

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Occidental Petroleum closed at $61.46, 24.3% above the consensus fair value of $49.46 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 38.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$55.37
-9.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$38.66
-37.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.61, BVPS=41.25 · outside Graham range (P/E 38.2, P/B 1.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$32.20
-47.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.61, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$17.24
-71.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.61, g=10.7%
EV/EBITDA
$98.05
+59.5%
(EBITDA × 15.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=10.66B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$51.77
-15.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$23.39
-61.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=41.25, ROE=5.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$61.46
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.9% | Historical: 10.7%
Margin of Safety
$31.56
-48.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=42.08, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.