Penske Automotive Group
S&P 400
$215.91
-0.32%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
PAG
Penske Automotive Group
$215.91
Close used for this calculation
$77.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
36/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$77.65
Above FV▼ -64.0% against the close used
Model range $2.91 – $165.47
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$2.91Fair value$77.65Bull$165.47
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $140.6052W high $223.44
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Penske Automotive Group closed at $215.91, 178.1% above the consensus fair value of $77.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 36/100 — Average. P/E of 76.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$36.89
-82.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$75.06
-65.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.83, BVPS=88.49 · outside Graham range (P/E 76.3, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$56.60
-73.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.83, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$2.91
-98.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.83, g=1%
EV/EBITDA
$37.60
-82.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.45B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$66.07
-69.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.18, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$165.47
-23.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=88.49, ROE=16.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$215.91
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 25.3% | Historical: -1%
Margin of Safety
$42.14
-80.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=56.18, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.