The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$80.39Fair value$144.90Bull$225.95
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $32.8252W high $86.03
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. closed at $84.65, 41.6% below the consensus fair value of $144.90 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 77/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$114.06
+34.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$80.39
-5.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.16, BVPS=40.12 · outside Graham range (P/E 11.8, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$143.20
+69.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$214.80
+153.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.16, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$225.95
+166.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=683.08M
Book Value (P/B)
$126.67
+49.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=40.12, ROE=18.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$84.65
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0% | Historical: 35.5%
Margin of Safety
$84.41
-0.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=112.55, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.