Paccar

PCAR US Industrials Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
$122.73
+0.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

PCAR
Paccar
IndustrialsConstruction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
$122.73
Close used for this calculation
$75.42Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
40/100
Profitability11/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth4/25
Average
Quality radar
40Prof.11/25Ret.7/25Eff.11/25B.Sht11/25Growth4/25

Consensus fair value

$75.42
Above FV
▼ -38.5% against the close used
Model range $6.86 – $90.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$6.86Fair value$75.42Bull$90.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $93.0052W high $138.21

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Paccar closed at $122.73, 62.7% above the consensus fair value of $75.42 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 40/100 — Average. P/E of 27.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$89.96
-26.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$62.48
-49.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.51, BVPS=38.47 · outside Graham range (P/E 27.2, P/B 3.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$90.20
-26.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.51, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$6.86
-94.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.51, g=1.5%
EV/EBITDA
$69.89
-43.1%
(EBITDA × 10.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.42B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$34.74
-71.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.72, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$47.76
-61.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=38.47, ROE=11.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$122.73
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.3% | Historical: 1.5%
Margin of Safety
$60.66
-50.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=80.88, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.