PDD Holdings Inc.
Nasdaq 100
$77.81
-0.04%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
$77.81
Close used for this calculation
$44.50Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$44.50
Above FV▼ -42.8% against the close used
Model range $35.27 – $70.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$35.27Fair value$44.50Bull$70.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $73.3052W high $138.13
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
PDD Holdings Inc. closed at $77.81, 74.9% above the consensus fair value of $44.50 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 33.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$46.84
-39.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$47.20
-39.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.36, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$70.80
-9.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.36, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$40.68
-47.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=13.4B
Book Value (P/B)
$44.07
-43.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=9.98, ROE=23.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$77.81
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.9% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$35.27
-54.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=47.02, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.