$83.04
Near FV▼ -13.6% against the close used
Model range $16.06 – $110.43
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$16.06Fair value$83.04Bull$110.43
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $85.8752W high $109.37
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Pinnacle West Capital closed at $96.10, 15.7% above the consensus fair value of $83.04 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 19.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$71.71
-25.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.2%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$80.14
-16.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.05, BVPS=56.53 · outside Graham range (P/E 19, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$101.00
+5.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.05, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$16.06
-83.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.05, g=3.2%
EV/EBITDA
$110.43
+14.9%
(EBITDA × 11.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.04B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$54.67
-43.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.61, r=10%, g=3.2%
Book Value (P/B)
$48.07
-50.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=56.53, ROE=9%, g=3.2%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$96.10
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.5% | Historical: 3.2%
Margin of Safety
$63.21
-34.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=84.28, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.