Post Holdings

POST US Consumer Staples Packaged Foods & Meats
S&P 400
$80.19
-0.11%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

POST
Post Holdings
Consumer StaplesPackaged Foods & Meats
$80.19
Close used for this calculation
$151.73Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability17/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.17/25Ret.18/25Eff.20/25B.Sht11/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

$151.73
Below FV
▲ +89.2% against the close used
Model range $73.46 – $272.11
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$73.46Fair value$151.73Bull$272.11
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $76.2352W high $114.61

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Post Holdings closed at $80.19, 47.1% below the consensus fair value of $151.73 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 14.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$159.02
+98.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$86.13
+7.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.51, BVPS=59.84
P/E Fair Value
$110.20
+37.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.51, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$165.30
+106.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.51, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$272.11
+239.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.32B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$160.22
+99.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$73.46
-8.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=59.84, ROE=10.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$80.19
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.9% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$88.84
+10.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=118.45, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.