$41.48
Near FV▲ +3.9% against the close used
Model range $10.41 – $88.39
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$10.41Fair value$41.48Bull$88.39
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $25.0952W high $46.87
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Progress Software Corporation closed at $39.92, 3.8% below the consensus fair value of $41.48 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 37/100 — Average. P/E of 24.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$88.39
+121.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$21.13
-47.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.66, BVPS=11.95 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.1, P/B 3.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$33.20
-16.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.66, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$10.41
-73.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.66, g=6.3%
EV/EBITDA
$17.92
-55.1%
(EBITDA × 13.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=159.49M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$15.13
-62.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.53, r=10%, g=6.3%
Book Value (P/B)
$25.25
-36.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=11.95, ROE=14.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$39.92
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.6% | Historical: 6.3%
Margin of Safety
$35.68
-10.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=47.57, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.