Phillips 66

PSX US Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
S&P 500
$259.47
+0.37%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

PSX
Phillips 66
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
$259.47
Close used for this calculation
$156.57Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability9/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth4/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.9/25Ret.10/25Eff.11/25B.Sht18/25Growth4/25

Consensus fair value

$156.57
Above FV
▼ -39.7% against the close used
Model range $28.27 – $215.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$28.27Fair value$156.57Bull$215.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $126.7652W high $260.78

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Phillips 66 closed at $259.47, 65.7% above the consensus fair value of $156.57 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 24.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$148.35
-42.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$137.75
-46.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=10.79, BVPS=78.15 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.1, P/B 3.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$215.80
-16.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=10.79, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$28.27
-89.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=10.79, g=2.6%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$66.03
-74.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4.75, r=10%, g=2.6%
Book Value (P/B)
$122.59
-52.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=78.15, ROE=14%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$259.47
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.6% | Historical: 2.6%
Margin of Safety
$125.48
-51.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=167.3, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.