Papa John's Pizza

PZZA US Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
S&P 600
$20.56
-4.19%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

PZZA
Papa John's Pizza
Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants
$20.56
Close used for this calculation
$27.07Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability8/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth16/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.8/25Ret.12/25Eff.11/25B.Sht17/25Growth16/25

Consensus fair value

$27.07
Below FV
▲ +31.7% against the close used
Model range $5.79 – $33.87
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.79Fair value$27.07Bull$33.87
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $20.5652W high $55.31

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Papa John's Pizza closed at $20.56, 24.0% below the consensus fair value of $27.07 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 22.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$33.87
+64.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$18.00
-12.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.79
-71.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.9, g=6.4%
EV/EBITDA
$33.40
+62.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=181.39M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$23.46
+14.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.84, r=10%, g=2%
Reverse DCF
$20.56
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.9% | Historical: -6.4%
Margin of Safety
$19.45
-5.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=25.94, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.