Royal Caribbean Group

RCL US Consumer Discretionary Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
S&P 500
$260.14
+0.44%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

RCL
Royal Caribbean Group
Consumer DiscretionaryHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
$260.14
Close used for this calculation
$236.67Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability25/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency14/25
Growth15/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.25/25Ret.15/25Eff.14/25B.Sht13/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

$236.67
Near FV
▼ -9.0% against the close used
Model range $89.73 – $427.74
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$89.73Fair value$236.67Bull$427.74
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $246.7152W high $350.23

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Royal Caribbean Group closed at $260.14, 9.9% above the consensus fair value of $236.67 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$89.73
-65.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$115.83
-55.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=15.61, BVPS=38.2 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.7, P/B 6.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$312.20
+20.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=15.61, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$325.47
+25.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=15.61, g=20.9%
EV/EBITDA
$427.74
+64.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=6.63B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$189.64
-27.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.51, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$340.93
+31.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=38.2, ROE=41.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$260.14
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.7% | Historical: 20.9%
Margin of Safety
$129.44
-50.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=172.59, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.