Royal Gold

RGLD US Materials Gold
S&P 400
$252.28
-0.67%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

RGLD
Royal Gold
MaterialsGold
$252.28
Close used for this calculation
$147.25Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability25/25
Returns4/25
Balance Sheet20/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.25/25Ret.4/25Eff.8/25B.Sht20/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$147.25
Above FV
▼ -41.6% against the close used
Model range $3.34 – $201.05
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$3.34Fair value$147.25Bull$201.05
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $169.0852W high $304.29

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Royal Gold closed at $252.28, 71.3% above the consensus fair value of $147.25 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 37.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$132.79
-47.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$115.84
-54.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.69, BVPS=89.14 · outside Graham range (P/E 37.7, P/B 2.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$133.80
-47.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$200.70
-20.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.69, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$201.05
-20.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=815.25M
Book Value (P/B)
$3.34
-98.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=89.14, ROE=6.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$252.28
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.7% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$95.61
-62.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=127.48, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.