Saia

SAIA US Industrials Cargo Ground Transportation
S&P 400
$351.05
+1.46%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SAIA
Saia
IndustrialsCargo Ground Transportation
$351.05
Close used for this calculation
$210.05Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability17/25
Returns4/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.17/25Ret.4/25Eff.8/25B.Sht23/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$210.05
Above FV
▼ -40.2% against the close used
Model range $20.25 – $387.44
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$20.25Fair value$210.05Bull$387.44
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $250.4852W high $487.14

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Saia closed at $351.05, 67.1% above the consensus fair value of $210.05 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 36.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$20.25
-94.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$147.63
-57.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.52, BVPS=101.75 · outside Graham range (P/E 36.9, P/B 3.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$190.40
-45.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.52, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$143.09
-59.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.52, g=15%
EV/EBITDA
$387.44
+10.4%
(EBITDA × 17.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=600.77M
Book Value (P/B)
$85.22
-75.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=101.75, ROE=9.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$351.05
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15.4% | Historical: 15%
Margin of Safety
$89.57
-74.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=119.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.