Boston Beer Company

SAM US Consumer Staples Brewers
S&P 400
$172.55
+1.79%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SAM
Boston Beer Company
Consumer StaplesBrewers
$172.55
Close used for this calculation
$207.71Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability11/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.11/25Ret.16/25Eff.11/25B.Sht16/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$207.71
Below FV
▲ +20.4% against the close used
Model range $35.80 – $286.32
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$35.80Fair value$207.71Bull$286.32
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $161.0852W high $260.05

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Boston Beer Company closed at $172.55, 16.9% below the consensus fair value of $207.71 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 17.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$286.32
+65.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$123.93
-28.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.89, BVPS=69.02 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.5, P/B 2.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$197.80
+14.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.89, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$35.80
-79.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.89, g=3.6%
EV/EBITDA
$253.40
+46.9%
(EBITDA × 11.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=235.32M
Book Value (P/B)
$125.06
-27.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=69.02, ROE=15.2%, g=3.6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$172.55
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.3% | Historical: 3.6%
Margin of Safety
$152.01
-11.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=202.68, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.