Select Medical Holdings, Corp.

SEM US Health Care Health Care Facilities
S&P 600

Fair value analysis

SEM
Select Medical Holdings, Corp.
Health CareHealth Care Facilities
$16.51
Close used for this calculation
$21.59Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
51/100
Profitability9/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
51Prof.9/25Ret.15/25Eff.18/25B.Sht9/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$21.59
Below FV
▲ +30.8% against the close used
Model range $2.59 – $42.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$2.59Fair value$21.59Bull$42.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $11.7752W high $16.66

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Select Medical Holdings, Corp. closed at $16.51, 23.5% below the consensus fair value of $21.59 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 14.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$12.50
-24.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.2%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$19.53
+18.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.16, BVPS=14.61
P/E Fair Value
$23.20
+40.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$2.59
-84.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.16, g=2.2%
EV/EBITDA
$42.01
+154.5%
(EBITDA × 11.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=476.47M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$3.28
-80.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.25, r=10%, g=2.2%
Book Value (P/B)
$11.12
-32.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.61, ROE=8.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$16.51
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.5% | Historical: 2.2%
Margin of Safety
$13.81
-16.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=18.41, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.