Steven Madden, Ltd.

SHOO US Consumer Discretionary Footwear
S&P 600
$42.93
+3.82%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SHOO
Steven Madden, Ltd.
Consumer DiscretionaryFootwear
$42.93
Close used for this calculation
$17.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
38/100
Profitability8/25
Returns2/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
38Prof.8/25Ret.2/25Eff.7/25B.Sht21/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$17.70
Above FV
▼ -58.8% against the close used
Model range $4.13 – $28.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$4.13Fair value$17.70Bull$28.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $31.1552W high $49.07

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Steven Madden, Ltd. closed at $42.93, 142.5% above the consensus fair value of $17.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 68.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$28.80
-32.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$13.58
-68.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.63, BVPS=13.01 · outside Graham range (P/E 68.1, P/B 3.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$12.60
-70.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.63, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$6.15
-85.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.63, g=9.8%
EV/EBITDA
$13.11
-69.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=114.21M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$10.73
-75.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.84, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$4.13
-90.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=13.01, ROE=5.2%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$42.93
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 23.8% | Historical: -9.8%
Margin of Safety
$13.75
-68.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=18.33, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.