SM Energy Company
S&P 600
$38.10
-0.21%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
SM
SM Energy Company
$38.10
Close used for this calculation
$86.07Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
56/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$86.07
Below FV▲ +125.9% against the close used
Model range $10.20 – $112.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$10.20Fair value$86.07Bull$112.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $17.5752W high $38.29
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
SM Energy Company closed at $38.10, 55.7% below the consensus fair value of $86.07 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 6.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$105.71
+177.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$64.28
+68.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.64, BVPS=32.56
P/E Fair Value
$112.80
+196.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$49.52
+30.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.64, g=8.8%
EV/EBITDA
$87.04
+128.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$10.20
-73.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.8, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$24.61
-35.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=32.56, ROE=8.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$38.10
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -7.9% | Historical: -8.8%
Margin of Safety
$70.70
+85.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=94.26, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.