Supermicro

SMCI US Information Technology Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
S&P 500
$40.10
+7.28%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SMCI
Supermicro
Information TechnologyTechnology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
$40.10
Close used for this calculation
$61.46Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability17/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth17/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.17/25Ret.14/25Eff.20/25B.Sht10/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

$61.46
Below FV
▲ +53.3% against the close used
Model range $39.04 – $74.28
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$39.04Fair value$61.46Bull$74.28
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $20.5352W high $58.68

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Supermicro closed at $40.10, 34.8% below the consensus fair value of $61.46 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 12.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$64.71
+61.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$39.04
-2.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.26, BVPS=20.78 · outside Graham range (P/E 12.3, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$65.20
+62.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.26, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$57.64
+43.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.26, g=17.7%
EV/EBITDA
$74.28
+85.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.82B
Book Value (P/B)
$48.83
+21.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=20.78, ROE=15.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$40.10
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.6% | Historical: 17.7%
Margin of Safety
$42.24
+5.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=56.32, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.