The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$39.04Fair value$61.46Bull$74.28
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $20.5352W high $58.68
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Supermicro closed at $40.10, 34.8% below the consensus fair value of $61.46 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 12.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$64.71
+61.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$39.04
-2.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.26, BVPS=20.78 · outside Graham range (P/E 12.3, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$65.20
+62.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.26, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$57.64
+43.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.26, g=17.7%
EV/EBITDA
$74.28
+85.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.82B
Book Value (P/B)
$48.83
+21.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=20.78, ROE=15.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$40.10
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.6% | Historical: 17.7%
Margin of Safety
$42.24
+5.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=56.32, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.