Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
S&P 400
$56.47
+0.55%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$56.47
Close used for this calculation
$58.19Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$58.19
Near FV▲ +3.0% against the close used
Model range $3.24 – $87.33
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$3.24Fair value$58.19Bull$87.33
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $52.3852W high $73.47
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company closed at $56.47, 3.0% below the consensus fair value of $58.19 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 22.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$87.33
+54.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$49.40
-12.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.47, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$3.24
-94.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.47, g=1.3%
EV/EBITDA
$36.46
-35.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=421.3M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$33.70
-40.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.64, r=10%, g=2%
Reverse DCF
$56.47
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9% | Historical: -1.3%
Margin of Safety
$51.27
-9.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=68.37, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.