Simply Good Foods Company

SMPL US Consumer Staples Packaged Foods & Meats
S&P 600
$9.84
-3.91%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SMPL
Simply Good Foods Company
Consumer StaplesPackaged Foods & Meats
$9.84
Close used for this calculation
$24.47Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
79/100
Profitability19/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency22/25
Growth20/25
Strong
Quality radar
79Prof.19/25Ret.15/25Eff.22/25B.Sht23/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$24.47
Below FV
▲ +148.7% against the close used
Model range $5.20 – $30.86
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.20Fair value$24.47Bull$30.86
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $9.8452W high $27.67

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Simply Good Foods Company closed at $9.84, 59.8% below the consensus fair value of $24.47 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 79/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$30.86
+213.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$19.09
+94.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.02, BVPS=15.87
P/E Fair Value
$20.40
+107.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.02, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$30.60
+211.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.02, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$30.11
+206.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=178.32M
Book Value (P/B)
$5.20
-47.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=15.87, ROE=7.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$9.84
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.8% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$17.59
+78.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=23.45, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.