Simon Property Group

SPG US Real Estate Retail REITs
S&P 500
$204.83
+0.08%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SPG
Simon Property Group
Real EstateRetail REITs
$204.83
Close used for this calculation
$130.58Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability19/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency17/25
Growth8/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.19/25Ret.13/25Eff.17/25B.Sht9/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

$130.58
Above FV
▼ -36.2% against the close used
Model range $53.67 – $287.85
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$53.67Fair value$130.58Bull$287.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $173.3552W high $236.70

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Simon Property Group closed at $204.83, 56.9% above the consensus fair value of $130.58 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 21.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$97.81
-52.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$53.67
-73.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.35, BVPS=13.69 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.9, P/B 15) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$187.00
-8.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.35, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$63.86
-68.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.35, g=6.8%
EV/EBITDA
$59.48
-71.0%
(EBITDA × 13.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.6B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$287.85
+40.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=8.54, r=10%, g=6.8%
Reverse DCF
$204.83
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.4% | Historical: 6.8%
Margin of Safety
$84.62
-58.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=112.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.