The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$97.84Fair value$158.06Bull$235.54
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $158.0052W high $210.06
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Simpson Manufacturing closed at $173.49, 9.8% above the consensus fair value of $158.06 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 21.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$141.06
-18.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$97.84
-43.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.24, BVPS=51.63 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.1, P/B 3.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$164.80
-5.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.24, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$151.29
-12.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.24, g=18.4%
EV/EBITDA
$235.54
+35.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=548.02M
Book Value (P/B)
$132.83
-23.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=51.63, ROE=16.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$173.49
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.8% | Historical: 18.4%
Margin of Safety
$100.93
-41.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=134.57, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.