Steel Dynamics

STLD US Materials Steel
S&P 500
$239.79
+1.14%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

STLD
Steel Dynamics
MaterialsSteel
$239.79
Close used for this calculation
$136.33Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability19/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.19/25Ret.7/25Eff.10/25B.Sht21/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$136.33
Above FV
▼ -43.1% against the close used
Model range $67.09 – $224.76
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$67.09Fair value$136.33Bull$224.76
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $130.6552W high $282.76

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Steel Dynamics closed at $239.79, 75.9% above the consensus fair value of $136.33 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 30.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$67.09
-72.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$108.23
-54.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.99, BVPS=65.16 · outside Graham range (P/E 30, P/B 3.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$159.80
-33.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.99, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$224.76
-6.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.99, g=28.1%
EV/EBITDA
$222.74
-7.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.03B
Book Value (P/B)
$107.35
-55.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=65.16, ROE=12.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$239.79
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.6% | Historical: 28.1%
Margin of Safety
$83.78
-65.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=111.71, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.