$37.41
Near FV▼ -13.4% against the close used
Model range $4.31 – $57.11
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$4.31Fair value$37.41Bull$57.11
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $32.7952W high $51.84
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Smurfit Westrock closed at $43.22, 15.5% above the consensus fair value of $37.41 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 32.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$42.79
-1.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$32.04
-25.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.33, BVPS=34.3 · outside Graham range (P/E 32.5, P/B 1.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$26.60
-38.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.33, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$39.90
-7.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.33, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$57.11
+32.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.27B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$21.93
-49.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.72, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$4.31
-90.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=34.3, ROE=3.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$43.22
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.7% | Historical: -30.5%
Margin of Safety
$25.36
-41.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=33.81, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.