Stanley Black & Decker

SWK US Industrials Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
S&P 500
$89.24
+0.01%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SWK
Stanley Black & Decker
IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
$89.24
Close used for this calculation
$55.67Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
33/100
Profitability8/25
Returns2/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth8/25
Weak
Quality radar
33Prof.8/25Ret.2/25Eff.11/25B.Sht12/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

$55.67
Above FV
▼ -37.6% against the close used
Model range $12.66 – $85.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$12.66Fair value$55.67Bull$85.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $62.1252W high $104.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Stanley Black & Decker closed at $89.24, 60.3% above the consensus fair value of $55.67 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 33/100 — Weak. P/E of 33.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$85.01
-4.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$59.56
-33.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.65, BVPS=59.49 · outside Graham range (P/E 33.7, P/B 1.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$53.00
-40.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.65, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$19.64
-78.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.65, g=7.4%
EV/EBITDA
$18.84
-78.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=783.5M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$42.10
-52.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=3.3, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$12.66
-85.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=59.49, ROE=4.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$89.24
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 14.2% | Historical: -7.4%
Margin of Safety
$49.39
-44.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=65.86, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.