Texas Capital Bancshares

TCBI US Financials Regional Banks
S&P 400
$99.09
+0.19%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TCBI
Texas Capital Bancshares
FinancialsRegional Banks
$99.09
Close used for this calculation
$120.77Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
57/100
Profitability17/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency13/25
Growth11/25
Good
Quality radar
57Prof.17/25Ret.8/25Eff.13/25B.Sht19/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$120.77
Below FV
▲ +21.9% against the close used
Model range $55.07 – $140.12
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$55.07Fair value$120.77Bull$140.12
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $77.0852W high $107.74

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Texas Capital Bancshares closed at $99.09, 18.0% below the consensus fair value of $120.77 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 14.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$134.79
+36.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$112.32
+13.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.79, BVPS=82.58
P/E Fair Value
$135.80
+37.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.79, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$55.07
-44.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.79, g=8.1%
EV/EBITDA
$140.12
+41.4%
(EBITDA × 14.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=484.88M
Book Value (P/B)
$62.96
-36.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=82.58, ROE=9.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$99.09
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.9% | Historical: 8.1%
Margin of Safety
$95.73
-3.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=127.64, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.