Target Corporation

TGT US Consumer Staples Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail
S&P 500
$155.83
+0.06%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TGT
Target Corporation
Consumer StaplesConsumer Staples Merchandise Retail
$155.83
Close used for this calculation
$171.88Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability17/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.17/25Ret.18/25Eff.16/25B.Sht10/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$171.88
Near FV
▲ +10.3% against the close used
Model range $84.52 – $306.35
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$84.52Fair value$171.88Bull$306.35
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $83.6852W high $169.89

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Target Corporation closed at $155.83, 9.3% below the consensus fair value of $171.88 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 19.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$123.48
-20.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$84.52
-45.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.13, BVPS=39.06 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.2, P/B 4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$162.60
+4.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.13, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$183.17
+17.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.13, g=22.5%
EV/EBITDA
$306.35
+96.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=8.25B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$244.87
+57.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4.53, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$144.11
-7.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=39.06, ROE=20.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$155.83
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.6% | Historical: 22.5%
Margin of Safety
$92.65
-40.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=123.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.