Tirupati Forge Limited

TIRUPATIFL NSE Industrials Castings & Forgings
₹69.12
-1.93%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TIRUPATIFL
Tirupati Forge Limited
IndustrialsCastings & Forgings
₹70.48
Close used for this calculation
₹21.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
34/100
Profitability17/25
Returns2/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth12/25
Weak
Quality radar
34Prof.17/25Ret.2/25Eff.6/25B.Sht9/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

₹21.65
Above FV
▼ -69.3% against the close used
Model range ₹5.28 – ₹30.58
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear₹5.28Fair value₹21.65Bull₹30.58
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ₹31.3452W high ₹81.55

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Tirupati Forge Limited closed at ₹70.48, 225.5% above the consensus fair value of ₹21.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 34/100 — Weak. P/E of 147.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
₹9.92
-85.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
₹10.64
-84.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=0.5, BVPS=10.07 · outside Graham range (P/E 147, P/B 7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
Graham Formula
₹22.52
-68.1%
EPS × (8.5 + 2g) × 6.5 ÷ FD_Rate
g=20%, FD=7%
P/E Fair Value
₹15.03
-78.7%
EPS × 30.05x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.5, Sector P/E=30.05x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
₹12.50
-82.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.5, g=25%
EV/EBITDA
₹30.58
-56.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=240M
Book Value (P/B)
₹5.28
-92.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=10.07, ROE=5.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
₹70.48
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 34% | Historical: 25%
Margin of Safety
₹10.90
-84.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=14.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.