TransMedics Group, Inc.

TMDX US Health Care Health Care Equipment
S&P 600
$82.18
-3.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TMDX
TransMedics Group, Inc.
Health CareHealth Care Equipment
$82.18
Close used for this calculation
$74.49Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
78/100
Profitability25/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet25/25
Efficiency15/25
Growth12/25
Strong
Quality radar
78Prof.25/25Ret.13/25Eff.15/25B.Sht25/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$74.49
Near FV
▼ -9.4% against the close used
Model range $37.34 – $146.10
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$37.34Fair value$74.49Bull$146.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $62.0452W high $150.42

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

TransMedics Group, Inc. closed at $82.18, 10.3% above the consensus fair value of $74.49 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$67.86
-17.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$37.34
-54.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=4.87, BVPS=12.72 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.9, P/B 6.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$97.40
+18.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=4.87, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$146.10
+77.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=4.87, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$62.54
-23.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=135.77M
Book Value (P/B)
$97.73
+18.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=12.72, ROE=36.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$82.18
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.9% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$50.65
-38.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=67.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.