Taylor Morrison

TMHC US Consumer Discretionary Homebuilding
S&P 400
$72.45
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TMHC
Taylor Morrison
Consumer DiscretionaryHomebuilding
$72.45
Close used for this calculation
$136.17Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability15/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.15/25Ret.11/25Eff.18/25B.Sht17/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$136.17
Below FV
▲ +88.0% against the close used
Model range $95.49 – $155.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$95.49Fair value$136.17Bull$155.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $54.7952W high $72.48

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Taylor Morrison closed at $72.45, 46.8% below the consensus fair value of $136.17 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 9.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$153.14
+111.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$106.34
+46.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.77, BVPS=64.69
P/E Fair Value
$155.40
+114.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.77, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$95.49
+31.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.77, g=12.3%
Book Value (P/B)
$103.99
+43.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=64.69, ROE=12.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$72.45
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.3% | Historical: 12.3%
Margin of Safety
$103.72
+43.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=138.29, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.