Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL US Energy Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
S&P 500
$369.10
+0.82%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production
$369.10
Close used for this calculation
$120.94Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
50/100
Profitability20/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency2/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
50Prof.20/25Ret.10/25Eff.2/25B.Sht18/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

$120.94
Above FV
▼ -67.2% against the close used
Model range $61.65 – $139.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$61.65Fair value$120.94Bull$139.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $273.5652W high $539.79

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Texas Pacific Land Corporation closed at $369.10, 205.2% above the consensus fair value of $120.94 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 50/100 — Good. P/E of 53.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$130.64
-64.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$61.65
-83.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.97, BVPS=24.24 · outside Graham range (P/E 53, P/B 15.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$139.40
-62.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.97, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$122.39
-66.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.97, g=17.6%
EV/EBITDA
$94.80
-74.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=654.69M
Book Value (P/B)
$89.25
-75.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=24.24, ROE=28.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$369.10
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 20.3% | Historical: -17.6%
Margin of Safety
$82.92
-77.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=110.56, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.