Trex

TREX US Industrials Building Products
S&P 400
$44.95
+2.93%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TREX
Trex
IndustrialsBuilding Products
$44.95
Close used for this calculation
$27.09Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability15/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth1/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.15/25Ret.10/25Eff.6/25B.Sht14/25Growth1/25

Consensus fair value

$27.09
Above FV
▼ -39.7% against the close used
Model range $5.55 – $35.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.55Fair value$27.09Bull$35.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $30.1352W high $62.27

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Trex closed at $44.95, 65.9% above the consensus fair value of $27.09 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 25.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$17.79
-60.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$35.60
-20.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.78, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.55
-87.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.78, g=3.1%
EV/EBITDA
$34.68
-22.8%
(EBITDA × 11.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=320.92M
Book Value (P/B)
$22.59
-49.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=9.88, ROE=18.9%, g=3.1%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$44.95
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.3% | Historical: 3.1%
Margin of Safety
$20.02
-55.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=26.7, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.