Trinity Industries, Inc.

TRN US Industrials Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
S&P 600
$28.50
+0.49%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TRN
Trinity Industries, Inc.
IndustrialsConstruction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment
$28.50
Close used for this calculation
$49.91Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
77/100
Profitability12/25
Returns23/25
Balance Sheet17/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth16/25
Strong
Quality radar
77Prof.12/25Ret.23/25Eff.25/25B.Sht17/25Growth16/25

Consensus fair value

$49.91
Below FV
▲ +75.1% against the close used
Model range $13.45 – $85.97
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$13.45Fair value$49.91Bull$85.97
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $24.9052W high $38.07

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Trinity Industries, Inc. closed at $28.50, 42.9% below the consensus fair value of $49.91 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 77/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$53.03
+86.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$26.84
-5.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.28, BVPS=14.04 · outside Graham range (P/E 12.5, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$45.60
+60.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.28, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$13.45
-52.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.28, g=5.9%
EV/EBITDA
$85.97
+201.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=954.3M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$15.44
-45.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.21, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$38.39
+34.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.04, ROE=22.1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$28.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.8% | Historical: -5.9%
Margin of Safety
$31.37
+10.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=41.82, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.