The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$4.74Fair value$30.86Bull$41.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $29.1452W high $60.61
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Tractor Supply closed at $33.01, 7.0% above the consensus fair value of $30.86 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 16.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$26.08
-21.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$41.20
+24.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.06, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$4.74
-85.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.06, g=2.3%
EV/EBITDA
$33.91
+2.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.96B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$11.74
-64.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.92, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$27.70
-16.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5.02, ROE=41.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$33.01
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.2% | Historical: -2.3%
Margin of Safety
$25.23
-23.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=33.64, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.