Texas Roadhouse

TXRH US Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
S&P 400
$181.22
+0.09%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

TXRH
Texas Roadhouse
Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants
$181.22
Close used for this calculation
$124.22Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
53/100
Profitability17/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
53Prof.17/25Ret.12/25Eff.11/25B.Sht13/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$124.22
Above FV
▼ -31.5% against the close used
Model range $56.95 – $178.91
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$56.95Fair value$124.22Bull$178.91
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $155.8852W high $214.28

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Texas Roadhouse closed at $181.22, 45.9% above the consensus fair value of $124.22 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 29.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$99.96
-44.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$56.95
-68.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.1, BVPS=23.63 · outside Graham range (P/E 29.7, P/B 7.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$122.00
-32.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.1, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$95.59
-47.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.1, g=15.7%
EV/EBITDA
$178.91
-1.3%
(EBITDA × 17.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=681.38M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$146.79
-19.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.72, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$121.56
-32.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=23.63, ROE=26.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$181.22
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 12.5% | Historical: 15.7%
Margin of Safety
$69.73
-61.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=92.97, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.