United Airlines Holdings

UAL US Industrials Passenger Airlines
S&P 500
$109.82
+3.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

UAL
United Airlines Holdings
IndustrialsPassenger Airlines
$109.82
Close used for this calculation
$199.01Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
63/100
Profitability15/25
Returns23/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
63Prof.15/25Ret.23/25Eff.18/25B.Sht7/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$199.01
Below FV
▲ +81.2% against the close used
Model range $108.27 – $359.23
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$108.27Fair value$199.01Bull$359.23
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $85.2152W high $136.11

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

United Airlines Holdings closed at $109.82, 44.8% below the consensus fair value of $199.01 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 10.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$154.40
+40.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$108.27
-1.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=10.2, BVPS=51.08 · outside Graham range (P/E 10.8, P/B 2.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$204.00
+85.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=10.2, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$151.67
+38.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=10.2, g=14.9%
EV/EBITDA
$359.23
+227.1%
(EBITDA × 17.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.65B
Book Value (P/B)
$179.80
+63.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=51.08, ROE=20.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$109.82
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.3% | Historical: 14.9%
Margin of Safety
$116.67
+6.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=155.56, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.