The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$72.10Fair value$185.66Bull$256.78
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $103.9952W high $152.04
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
UMB Financial Corp. closed at $139.49, 24.9% below the consensus fair value of $185.66 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 15.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$256.78
+84.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$148.06
+6.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=9.29, BVPS=104.88
P/E Fair Value
$185.80
+33.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=9.29, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$112.22
-19.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=9.29, g=12.1%
EV/EBITDA
$215.70
+54.6%
(EBITDA × 16x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.02B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$88.13
-36.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.63, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$72.10
-48.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=104.88, ROE=8.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$139.49
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.3% | Historical: 12.1%
Margin of Safety
$147.66
+5.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=196.88, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.